CCLP's latest issue brief analyses the implications of the U.S. Supreme Court’s decision to overturn the Chevron doctrine, in conjunction with the related Corner Post decision, and current actions by the second Trump administration.
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Press release: New CCLP analysis challenges claims of mass restaurant closures in Denver

BLS data and unemployment insurance claims suggest a stable and resilient restaurant industry in Colorado’s largest city, despite assertions to the contrary.
DENVER, CO — March 11, 2025 — A new issue brief released today by the Colorado Center on Law and Policy (CCLP) examines recent trends in Denver’s restaurant industry and challenges claims that the city’s rising minimum wage is responsible for a significant decline in the number of restaurants. The analysis, based on multiple sources including Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) data, Denver’s Department of Excise and Licensing records, and unemployment insurance data, finds that recent drops in restaurant counts may be due to data revisions rather than actual closures.
The latest BLS Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages (QCEW) data for the second and third quarters of 2024, released on March 5, reflects a significant drop in establishments across all industries in Colorado—not just restaurants. This broad decline suggests that behind-the-scenes adjustments in BLS reporting, including a delayed purge of businesses that had previously closed in earlier years, may be skewing perceptions of restaurant losses.
“Denver’s minimum wage has been rising since 2020, so if it were the main driver of restaurant closures, we would expect to see consistent declines over time, not a sudden drop in 2024,” said Charles Brennan, author of the report. “What we’re seeing instead is evidence that licensing data is incomplete and that recent shifts in employment data reflect revisions made by the BLS rather than real-world economic decline.”
Key findings from the issue brief include:
- Denver’s restaurant licensing data is unreliable, with a significant number of newly opened restaurants missing from the city’s database.
- Long-term trends in BLS data show Denver’s restaurant industry has remained stable, with fluctuations aligning more closely with broader economic trends rather than local wage policies.
- Unemployment insurance claims in the food and accommodation sector do not indicate widespread job losses, contradicting claims of mass closures and job losses.
- Denver continues to have nearly 50% more full-service restaurants per capita than the U.S. average, a sign of continued resilience in the industry.
The CCLP brief emphasizes the importance of looking beyond surface-level statistics when assessing the impact of wage policies. “No dataset is perfect, and without context, even accurate data can be misinterpreted,” Brennan added. “The broader economic trends, industry shifts, and reporting adjustments all need to be considered before jumping to conclusions about restaurant closures.”
Read the complete issue brief on Denver restaurants and the minimum wage at https://copolicy.org/resource/issue-brief-denver-restaurants-minimum-wage/
For more information or to schedule an interview, please contact:
Charles Brennan, Director of Income and Housing Policy
Colorado Center on Law and Policy
Email: cbrennan@copolicy.org
Phone: 303-573-5669 x 302
About Colorado Center on Law and Policy
Founded in 1998, Colorado Center on Law and Policy is an antipoverty organization advancing the rights of every Coloradan. CCLP is dedicated to combating poverty and fostering economic equity in Colorado. We focus on systems-level change, supporting long-term, sustainable upward mobility for our communities, beyond meeting basic needs. Driven by our core values of equity, integrity, strategic advocacy, collaboration, and community engagement, CCLP envisions a Colorado where everyone has what they need to succeed. Learn more at copolicy.org.